Tuesday, December 2, 2014

Tuesday EPL Picks - Week 14

Tuesday mornings are turning into my favorite morning of the week. I update my spreadsheet for Are You The One? (guilty pleasure) and there always seems to be some top-level futbol.

No Champions League today, but there are a handful of Premier League matches, and we are going 5-5 today:

Newcastle United @ Burnley
This one is easy. Burnley are in 19th place, Newcastle are in 9th but have won 4 of 5. Take the pick'em because draws can be a real buzzkill.
Pick: Newcastle Pick'em (-125)

Liverpool @ Leicester City
Another easy one. Leicester are in last place in the whole league. I don't think it will be a blowout, but there is a large talent discrepancy.
Pick: Liverpool to win -105

Stoke City @ Manchester United
The first contest of the day with a point spread! Can ManU win by two goals to cover? They haven't beaten anybody by more than a goal since QPR in mid-September. Before that, it was Liverpool in early August. I think I like where this is headed.
Pick: Stoke +1.5 (-150)

QPR @ Swansea City
Swansea are pretty evenly split between 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, and they've managed a +3 goal differential. QPR have won 3, drawn 2, and lost 8 for a goal differential of -11. However, in the past few weeks QPR (at least in terms of results) is similar to - if not better than - Swansea. The Rangers (god I hate them so much) best Leicester and Aston Villa
Pick: QPR win or draw (+125)
Prediction: Swansea wins 6-0.

Aston Villa @ Crystal Palace
I hate everything about picking this game. Both teams are 3-4-6, but Crystal Palace has scored 11 more goals and have a touchdown advantage in goal differential. I think the only logical play here is to pick a draw and hope it ends 1-1.
Pick: Draw +240
Prediction: Someone wins with a goal in stoppage time.

West Ham @ West Brom
Battle for the West Side! Just kidding, these teams are nowhere near each other geographically. They are also nowhere near each other in the EPL table; West Brom are in 15th place with 13 points and West Ham are in 5th place with 21 points. Thanksgiving/Turkey season is over and it is not officially Christmas/Ham time.
Pick: West Ham Pick'em (+110)

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